AUDUSD | Wave analysis of the ticker

Been looking for the right island to survive the coming big collapse and WW3? I found a whole continent! There you can relive the upcoming events in a few years. Haven’t updated high degrees on Kangaroo since August 28, 2020 (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/1832) – I stand corrected. It’s relevant now.

2023 will be a positive year for all markets and almost all countries. For the next few years after both Waves and Socionomics and World-Systems Analysis signal about events on the scale of WW2 and the Great Depression – planetary catastrophe. I recommend buying physical gold with a portion of your income in this regard. But what about those who have an in-demand profession or an obscene amount of money?

Australia! It is the place where the current way of things in the modern world will last as long as possible. There are no other islands of stability closer to Europe or the United States. Great Shocks are looming everywhere. Russia and Ukraine entered this period several years earlier than the rest of the world. Further military conflicts will continue to erupt all along the perimeter of the conflicting civilizations.

For the weekend, I suggest the 1959 film “On the beach.” The events unfold in Australia after a nuclear disaster. And I only hope that the transition to the Chinese cycle of accumulation will pass through local conflicts and a new Cold War.

#AUDUSD. If it works, I’ll be very surprised, but for now, I’m not changing the count either.

A month ago I wrote here about the development of the wave [iv] (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/3158). And now it might have come to an end. Yes, so that right now it is possible to take a short position on the pair with p/l equals 6.

I wouldn’t say that this is a very likely scenario – usually the Aussie dollar is correlated with S&P500, which is on the upside. But as a hedge of EUR and GBP longs, shorts can be considered here. If trading in isolation from other instruments, it is probably better to skip this trade.

#AUDUSD. I have shorted Australian dollar. There is a probability below average, but it is worth a try.

#AUDUSD. Passed by the size of the stop, you can fix it partially.

#AUDUSD. I took a short.

A month ago, I set you a local target for 100% blue fibo (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/3118). It was executed in mid-October, then the currency went into a local correction, which was also marked [iv]. And now that all the guidelines for the completion of this fourth wave have been fulfilled, AUD should begin to devalue again.

The pair will reach up to two Australian dollars for one American next year, and then it will update historical lows. All this will be accompanied not only by a drop in living standards, but also, first, by an economic and then by a military conflict with China, from which Australia will emerge as a loser.

#AUDUSD. The wave [iv] is forming in the downward count. When it moves the channel up or sideways, you can try to short.

Three months ago, a last forecast was published here, where we shorted a kangaroo (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/2975). Since then, it has fallen about 10% against the US dollar.

Confuses only two starting leading diagonals in the calculation, perhaps there is only one there. Otherwise, I expect the downtrend to continue with a local target in the 0.6 area.

As expected earlier, the Aussie went down (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/2934). Most likely, this trend will continue throughout July. I hold a short position on the pair, even added a little yesterday.

Forex becomes interesting again, pay attention. :o)

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#89waves

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#AUD #AUDUSD TF: 1H

Recently, I have been reproached for not marking up alternatives, choosing priority options myself, and not showing what will happen if it goes not this way. I am getting better. I issue a forecast if not down, then up, if not up, then down.

I thought all the way that the professional task of an analyst is to choose from a variety of options most likely, but the audience knows better… :o)

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#89waves

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#AUD #AUDUSD TF: 4H

But I took a small position on the hypothesis of a month ago (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/2410). Structure [iii] from my decision did not become more like an impulse, but okay… I am waiting for the renewal of the end of the wave [iii] within the wave [v] of 3 . There is nothing more to add.

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#89waves

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#AUD #AUDUSD TF: 2H

Last month’s local target has also been met (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/2367). Therefore, now I am out of the market for this forex pair. Well, the clarity of the internal structure leaves much to be desired, the downward movement from March is very much like a figure from the zigzag family.

I will wait for the situation to be clarified. Well, let me remind you that I am in the long for the euro, New Zealand dollar and the pound. The main hypothesis on the markets is that the dollar is falling, not its strengthening.

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#89waves

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#AUD #AUDUSD TF: 4H

I closed part of the short with profit (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/2330), for the rest I just moved the stop closer. It is unlikely for many reasons, but the chances of initials down are not zero anyway.

The strategy is the same – we move the stop to the cancellation level, wait, repeat.

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#89waves

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#AUD #AUDUSD TF: 1H

Kangaroo is going where it needs to go (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/2283), but I am inclined to believe that this is a temporary story and that the dollar should continue to depreciate. Therefore, I do not add on this trade, but simply pull up the stop-loss to the level of the scenario’s cancellation.

These cancellation levels are marked in orange and red on the chart and can be used to build a trading plan – this is a great opportunity right now.

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#89waves

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#AUD #AUDUSD TF: 1H

I don’t change the calculation and the downward forecast, although I’m not very sure about this situation (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/2232). I already wrote that the euro and the dollar index are looking towards the weakening of the dollar, but here the opposite is true. In Australia everything is upside down, what to take from them?

Alternatively, I introduced a triangle in the wave (X) from which there will be an upward exit. That is why I moved the shorts to breakeven. Further sideways trend will confirm the ascending calculation for the pair, as I think.

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#89waves

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#AUD #AUDUSD TF: 1H

Nothing much has happened since last month (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/2171). I hold the short, stop is at breakeven, I do not plan to add it. I don’t know what else to write. The situation is difficult for WA.

I continue to believe that the dollar will not begin to strengthen without a fall in American funds. So, first of all, we keep an eye on the indices.

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#89waves

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#AUD #AUDUSD TF: 1H

Finally, the downward forecast began to be implemented (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/2087), which finally allowed the stops to be moved to breakeven. As I already wrote, it will be difficult for a kangaroo to fall without SPX index, so I do not plan to build up a short position until the end of the diagonal there.

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#89waves

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#AUD #AUDUSD TF: 4H

About a month ago I started shorting the pair (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/2040) without a stop until the count was liquidated and only now the price approached the breakeven. It is good that the count of only $500 was allocated for this deal.

I continue to wait for the strengthening of the dollar, as I wrote last month. The SPX’s final should soon come and then flight down…

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#89waves

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#AUD #AUDUSD TF: 4H

As predicted earlier, the dollar depreciation continued (look update from December, 28 in my telegram channel). Now, it is likely that this phase of the market has been reversed towards the strengthening of the dollar. And, therefore, it’s time to try speculative shorts. Especially in the context of the fact that the ascending channel has just been broken down.

Probably all markets will soon face big shocks – a continuation of the crisis that began a year ago (look update from January 27, 2020 in my telegram channel). At such times, growth is usually shown by the underlying asset – the dollar, everything else falls. Wait for a big longread on my local and global strategy for saving your own funds, where I will tell you more about it.

Share this channel, please, with other people interested in trading. It is very easy for you and it will be very helpful for me. Do appreciate your help
#89waves

#AUD #AUDUSD TF: 4H